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Mask mandates in Kansas help slow spread of Covid

 Comparing Counties With & Without Mask Mandates

    In the United States, there has been a significant amount of controversy over masks during the coronavirus pandemic. Although wearing a mask is required in a little over 30 states, many other states and regions still doubt the importance of masks and mask mandates. A recent study from October 25, 2020 was published by Donna Ginther PhD, on the University of Kansas MediaHub page. This study compares the COVID-19 outcomes of counties in Kansas with mask mandates to counties in Kansas without mask mandates. 


Background Information

    On July 3, Laura Kelly, Governor of Kansas, implemented a statewide requirement of masks but counties could choose to opt out of this mask mandate. The mandate required residents to wear masks in a public setting and was enforced by 20 out of the 105 Kansas counties.

Results

    Researchers from this study charted a line graph comparing the number of COVID-19 cases for counties with and without mask requirements. Surprisingly, the graph showed a spike in COVID-19 cases lasting around 14 days after the July 3 mandate for counties with mask requirements. This spike is likely due to residents who caught the coronavirus prior to the mask mandate, but tested positive after the mask requirement in their county. After the 14 day recovery period for these Covid infected residents, counties with a mask mandate saw a decrease in COVID-19 cases and have held relatively flat cases since then. On the other hand, counties without a mask mandate have had a steadily increasing number of coronavirus cases since July 3. 


    Additionally, the coronavirus cases for Johnson County, which has been implementing mask requirements since July 3, were compared to that of counties without mask mandates. Here, a similar trend was shown to the graph of counties with and without mask mandates: Johnson County had a decrease in cases beginning July 17 (14 days after the mandate) and has maintained a somewhat steady amount of cases since then. Meanwhile, no mask counties have increasing numbers of cases and a much higher case rate than Johnson County.


    Lastly, researchers compared Sedgwick County to all other counties with no mask requirements. Unlike Johnson County, Sedgwick County did not begin enforcing a mask mandate until September 9, 2020. However, the city of Wichita, which resides within Sedgwick County, has been enforcing a mask mandate since July 3, 2020. The graph shows that Sedgwick County had its first significant decrease in COVID-19 cases 23 days after the July 3 mask mandate but cases began showing a regular downward trend around late August/early September. Overall, Sedgwick County had a much lower case rate compared to counties without mask mandates, despite Sedgwick County's late decision to enforce the mask requirement.

    Using a statistical model, researchers found that counties with mask mandates had a 50% reduction of coronavirus cases compared to counties without the mask mandate.

Significance

    The findings from this study suggest masks do work and mask mandates play a significant role in reducing the number of COVID-19 cases. Counties that enforced a mask mandate saw half as many new coronavirus cases compared to counties without a mask mandate. If more states and counties issue mask mandates, it can be predicted that less people will be infected and the spread of the virus will be significantly slowed. 

    However, these results should be taken with a grain of salt as the study was published on the University of Kansas website, rather than a peer reviewed journal. As in any study or experiment, there are potential caveats found in the mask mandate study, including a small sample size limited to a few counties in the state of Kansas, as well as other confounding variables relating to the demographic of each county. Although this is the first post on the Coronavirus News Explained blog that does not come from a peer-reviewed journal, I still believe the results will be valuable to others and promote mask wearing in public spaces. Whether or not a county has a mask mandate, residents should wear masks in public to reduce infection and ultimately slow the spread of the virus.

Sources

1. Ginther, Donna. “Masks.” MediaHub, 25 Oct. 2020, mediahub.ku.edu/media/Masks/1_49bb9aid?campaign_id=154. 

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